Is Messeres $25k Heads-Up Turn Overbet GTO Wizard Approved?
The WSOP $25,000 Heads-Up Championship attracts a field of superstars, some of whom have played and specialized in the format for years.
The tournament can throw up interesting spots, regardless of how deep in the tournament you go, and in the latest GTO Wizard Hand Analysis we take a look at an interesting spot in the quarter-final match between Faraz Jaka and Owen Messere.
The Hand
The hand occurred in the quarter-final match between Jaka and Messere, with the blinds at 5,000/10,000.
Jaka opened to 25,000 from the button and Owen Messere called.The flop was 753 and Messere checked. Faraz continued for 25,000 and Messere check-raised to 80,000.
Jaka called and the turn was the J. Messere overbet 240,000 and Jaka called again.
The river was the 5 and Messere shoved for 736,000. Jaka called with K7 and ended up beating the 42 of Messere.
Wizard’s Wisdom
Thanks to GTO Wizard, we’re able to analyze the two major spots in this hand: Messere’s decision to overbet the turn after check-raising on the flop, and then a brief look at the reasoning behind Jaka’s river call.
Messere’s Turn Overbet
According to GTO Wizard, the 114% overbet on the turn is not recommended. Here’s why:
When we decide to polarize our strategy, we want to bet the very best and the very worst hands which can still improve. These are some general guidelines to follow:
Jaka’s River Call
Although the main part of the analysis is centered around the turn overbet, it’s also worth looking at the snap-call from Jaka.
This may indicate that hes aware of Owen being too aggressive. In this hand, Owen bluffs the turn with a hand that should check. Perhaps Jaka feels that Owen is frequently overplaying turns, and that’s why he made the call.
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GTO Wizard has a video all about bluff catching, for more information on why Jaka may have made this play, check it out here
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